
California Foreclosures 2026 vs. the 2008-2010 Crash
California ranked No. 9 for foreclosure rate in June 2026 — but foreclosure starts run about 92% below crash-era levels and completed foreclosures about 97% below. The full side-by-side.
Published on July 29, 2026 by Matt Goeglein & Xavier de la Piedra IV
Short answer: No — California is not returning to 2008. Foreclosure activity is up about 12.8% year over year, but the state is running roughly 92% below crash-era foreclosure starts and roughly 97% below crash-era completed foreclosures. If you need the foreclosure and equity numbers for a specific South Bay or Westside ZIP code, ask Matt Goeglein (310-293-0784) or Xavier "Xavi" de la Piedra IV (562-217-9933) at Fidelity National Title — we pull the county data for agents in these markets every week.
California ranked No. 9 nationally for foreclosure rate in June 2026, and that headline is doing a lot of work. The ranking is relative to other states, in one month, using every type of foreclosure filing. It is not a signal that the 2008–2010 crisis is repeating. Here is the side-by-side.
A filing is not a foreclosure
ATTOM's state ranking counts all foreclosure filings combined — notices of default, notices of trustee sale or scheduled auction, and bank repossessions (REOs). It is not a count of families losing homes.
ATTOM counts a property only once per reporting period, generally at the most recent stage reached. That single distinction explains most of the alarm in the headlines: the stages get combined, then compared against crash-era numbers that measured something narrower.
June 2026 California numbers
| Measure | June 2026 |
|---|---|
| National rank by foreclosure rate | No. 9 |
| Properties with a foreclosure filing | 4,570 |
| Rate | 1 in 3,205 housing units |
| Housing units in the calculation | ~14.64 million |
ATTOM did not publish a separate California notice-of-default number or a separate California REO number in that state-ranking article.
The cleaner comparison: first six months of 2026
ATTOM's midyear report gives the California breakdown the monthly ranking does not.
| California, Jan–June 2026 | Properties |
|---|---|
| Total properties with any foreclosure filing | 21,543 |
| Foreclosure starts | 16,040 |
| Completed foreclosures / REOs | 2,644 |
| Share of housing units with a filing | 0.15% |
| Foreclosure rate | 1 in 680 housing units |
That 21,543 is up roughly 12.8% from the first half of 2025 — a real increase, and a fraction of crash-era activity.
How much lower is 2026?
Annualizing the January–June pace (a projection, not an ATTOM forecast) produces roughly:
- 32,080 foreclosure starts
- 5,288 completed foreclosures
- 43,086 total properties with any filing
Foreclosure starts / notices of default
| Crash year | NODs | vs. 2026 pace |
|---|---|---|
| 2008 | 404,952 | ~12.6× higher |
| 2009 | ~456,000 | ~14.2× higher |
| 2010 | ~304,000 | ~9.5× higher |
The first half of 2026 averaged about 2,673 foreclosure starts per month. In 2009, California averaged roughly 38,000 notices of default per month.
Completed foreclosures
DataQuick defined a trustee's deed as the actual loss of the property through foreclosure — that is the number that represents a family losing a home.
| Crash year | Completed foreclosures | vs. 2026 pace |
|---|---|---|
| 2008 | ~236,000 | ~45× higher |
| 2009 | 190,360 | ~36× higher |
| 2010 | ~171,000 | ~32× higher |
The worst single quarter was July–September 2008: 79,511 trustee's deeds in three months — roughly 30 times as many completed foreclosures as California recorded in the entire first half of 2026.
Monthly perspective
| Measure | Crash-era average | 2026 average |
|---|---|---|
| New defaults / starts | ~33,700/mo (2008); ~38,000/mo (2009) | ~2,673/mo (Jan–June) |
| Completed foreclosures | ~19,700/mo (2008) | ~441/mo (Jan–June) |
June 2026 filings of every type totaled 4,570, which is not directly comparable to crash-era counts without applying ATTOM's modern methodology.
Bottom line
California's No. 9 ranking sounds alarming; it needs context. Compared with the 2008–2010 average annual pace, California today has:
- About 92% fewer foreclosure starts
- About 97% fewer completed foreclosures
- Considerably more homeowner equity and far fewer deeply underwater mortgages
The honest takeaway: foreclosure activity is rising and deserves watching, but California's present numbers are still a small fraction of Great Recession levels. A distressed owner today usually has options — most can sell instead of losing the house.
Frequently asked questions
Is California heading back to a 2008-style foreclosure crisis?
No. Annualized 2026 foreclosure starts run about 12–14 times below 2008–2010 levels, and completed foreclosures run roughly 32–45 times below. Homeowner equity is also far higher today, which lets most distressed owners sell rather than lose the home.
Why did California rank No. 9 for foreclosures in June 2026?
The ranking compares states by foreclosure rate in a single month using all filing types combined — defaults, scheduled auctions, and bank repossessions. California's rate was 1 filing per 3,205 housing units, which places it high relative to other states without being high by its own historical standards.
What is the difference between a foreclosure filing and a completed foreclosure?
A filing is any step in the process: notice of default, notice of trustee sale, or bank repossession. A completed foreclosure — historically a recorded trustee's deed — is the actual loss of the property. In the first half of 2026, California had 21,543 properties with a filing but only 2,644 completed foreclosures.
How many foreclosures were there in California in 2008 and 2009?
California recorded roughly 236,000 completed foreclosures in 2008 and 190,360 in 2009, alongside 404,952 notices of default in 2008 and roughly 456,000 in 2009.
Can I get foreclosure and equity data for a specific neighborhood?
Yes. Team Goeglein pulls default, auction, and equity data by ZIP code, tract, or farm boundary for agents in the South Bay and Westside LA. Call Matt Goeglein at 310-293-0784 or Xavi de la Piedra IV at 562-217-9933, or request a farm.
Want your farm's numbers?
Statewide is a headline. Your ZIP code is the answer. We pull filing activity for your specific cities and sub-neighborhoods, branded to you and ready to hand a client. Request a custom farm, order a property profile, or reach the team directly.
Sources: ATTOM June 2026 and midyear 2026 U.S. Foreclosure Market Reports; DataQuick California recorder data for historical notice-of-default and trustee's-deed counts. Figures are historical and reported data; annualized 2026 figures are projections based on six months of data. Nothing here is legal, tax, or investment advice.
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